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Stadium Background

Valerenga W vs Molde W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Intility Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jeon Yu-Gyeong
46'
Sub
Wang L. In: Eiriksdottir A.
Out: Wang L.
51'
Walta I.

AI Match Summary

Molde W in this Toppserien Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molde W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Valerenga W
20%
Draws
29%
Molde W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Valerenga W have won more games recently than Molde W.
  • Win probability leans Valerenga W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 68%
Molde W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga W Molde W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Molde W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Inauen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Molde W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeon Yu-Gyeong
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga W 68 / 100
Molde W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga W Molde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Valerenga W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Valerenga W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga W VS Molde W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga W

(Home)
19 Aug
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Honefoss W
14 Aug
Bodo/Glimt W
1 : 4
Valerenga W
08 Aug
Valerenga W
2 : 0
Omonia W
05 Aug
Valerenga W
0 : 1
Malmo FF W
27 Jul
Hacken W
2 : 0
Valerenga W
Page 1 of 6

Molde W

(Away)
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
08 Aug
Bodo/Glimt W
1 : 2
Molde W
20 Jun
Molde W
3 : 3
Haugesund W
13 Jun
Stabaek W
2 : 1
Molde W
26 May
Molde W
2 : 3
Rosenborg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 13 11 2 0 40:3 35
2 Aalesund W 12 9 1 2 29:13 28
3 Rosenborg W 13 8 3 2 23:14 27
4 Valerenga W 14 8 1 5 33:20 25
5 Stabaek W 13 5 3 5 19:13 18
6 Lyn W 12 4 4 4 21:13 16
7 Molde W 13 4 3 6 21:24 15
8 Haugesund W 13 4 3 6 18:31 15
9 LSK Kvinner W 12 4 2 6 18:21 14
10 Roa W 12 2 4 6 10:20 10
11 Honefoss W 13 2 2 9 11:28 8
12 Bodo/Glimt W 12 0 2 10 7:50 2
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)