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Valeriodoce vs Betim FC

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valeriodoce play Betim FC in the Mineiro 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Valeriodoce averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Betim FC averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Valeriodoce won 1, Betim FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 14, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Valeriodoce and 0.81 for Betim FC. This points to a Valeriodoce double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Valeriodoce
35%
Draws
31%
Betim FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Valeriodoce picked up more points recently compared to Betim FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 26%
Betim FC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Betim FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 13 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Betim FC
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 Mineiro 2
Betim FC vs Valeriodoce
3:1
Jun 8, 2024 Mineiro 2
Betim FC vs Valeriodoce
1:1
May 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Betim FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valeriodoce Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaique Maciel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Betim FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho Tardelli
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 36 / 100
Betim FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Betim FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Valeriodoce or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Valeriodoce attacking → ← attacking Betim FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Betim FC let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Valeriodoce went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Betim FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 45
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Betim FC42119:77
2URT41218:75
3Valeriodoce41125:84
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aymores42116:47
2North Esporte Clube41213:35
3Mamore40311:33