Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
JK Poseidon in this Estonian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JK Poseidon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to JK Poseidon lately — more wins on the board than Valga Warrior.
- Model gives JK Poseidon a 64% chance of winning this.
- JK Poseidon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor JK Poseidon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Valga Warrior Clean Sheet 10%
JK Poseidon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valga Warrior | JK Poseidon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 24 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.73 | 4.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 3.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2023 Estonian Cup
Valga Warrior vs JK Poseidon
1:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valga Warrior 10 / 100
JK Poseidon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valga Warrior JK Poseidon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JK Poseidon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: JK Poseidon conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Valga Warrior found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Valga Warrior remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Valga Warrior VS JK Poseidon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
5.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 88%
83% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Valga Warrior
(Home) 26 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 6 JK Poseidon
09 Jul
Valga Warrior
0 : 6 Elva
24 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 4 Kristiine
10 Jul
Valga Warrior
: FCT Titans
29 Jul
Imavere Forss
5 : 1 Valga Warrior
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26 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 6 JK Poseidon
09 Jul
Valga Warrior
0 : 6 Elva
24 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 4 Kristiine
10 Jul
Valga Warrior
: FCT Titans
16 Jun
Valga Warrior
5 : 1 Viking
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JK Poseidon
(Away) 11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12 Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6 Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
26 Jun
Tamper
4 : 1 JK Poseidon
26 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 6 JK Poseidon
29 Jun
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 3 JK Poseidon
29 Jul
Olympic Tallinn
1 : 2 JK Poseidon
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
Tartu Kalev 9
FC Sssolutions 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Legion 10
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Alliance -
Elva -
TBD -
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Tervis Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
FCP Parnu -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Raplamaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora IV -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Kristiine 2
Kohvile 3
Viimsi JK 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2
Rumori Calcio 4
Zenit Tallinn 3
Hiiumaa 1
Tallinna Gorillad -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Jogeva Wolves 0
Kuressaare 8
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Keila JK 11
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Legion II -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Kalju -
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat 4
Flora U19 0
TransferWise 1
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Tulevik -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 20
Vana Hea Puur 0
Drakon 0
Nomme Utd 12
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 2
Tartu Kalev 3
TBD -
Levadia -
Legion 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Tammeka Tartu -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus 6
FC Alliance 1
Elva 1
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tervis Parnu 8
FCP Parnu 3
Maksatransport 5
Loo JK 1
Raplamaa 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Valga Warrior 1
JK Poseidon 6
Arukula Vigri 3
Flora IV 2
Maardu Aliens -
FC Tallinn -
Kohvile 0
Viimsi JK 3
Narva -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio 3
Zenit Tallinn 8
Tallinna Gorillad 0
Tabasalu 16
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm 2
Parnu 0
Saku Sporting 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Kuressaare -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet 0
Kose 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Keila JK 0
Legion II 3
Soccernet 1
Kalju 4
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
TransferWise 0
Tulevik 3
Rumori Calcio II 0
Olympic Tallinn 3
Harju JK Laagri 12
Pelgu City 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 6
Vandra Vaprus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Eston Villa 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev 2
Levadia 6
Legion 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Flora 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Elva 5
Tervis Parnu 2
Maksatransport 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 3
JK Poseidon 2
Arukula Vigri 3
FC Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2
Narva 5
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Helm 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 7
Kuressaare 9
Kose 1
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Legion II 0
Kalju 5
Tulevik 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 11
Eston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Levadia 4
Tammeka Tartu 2
Flora 10
Elva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 9
Arukula Vigri 1
Viimsi JK 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Kuressaare 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Kalju 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
Tallinna Kalev 3
Nomme Utd 1
Quarter-finals
Levadia 2
Flora 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
Final
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 2
