Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Pukitis R.
27'
27'
Teters R.
32'
32'
Edolfs A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-5. This leg finished 1-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Aliance have won more games recently than Valka.
- Model gives Aliance a 85% chance of winning this.
- Aliance arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aliance, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Valka Clean Sheet 10%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valka | Aliance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 18 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 3.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.53 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
Valka vs Aliance
1:5
May 17, 2025 Latvian Cup
Valka vs Aliance
1:9
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valka Compare
Top Goalscorer Vilisters A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Aliance Compare
Top Goalscorer Teters R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pukitis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valka 10 / 100
Aliance 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valka Aliance
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aliance Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aliance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.
H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.
Valka's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.
Away concern: Aliance has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Valka VS Aliance
1 Goals Scored 3.75
5.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Valka
(Home) 30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1 Valka
28 May
Valka
0 : 7 Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2 Gulbenes
Page 1 of 4
30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
28 May
Valka
0 : 7 Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2 Gulbenes
23 Aug
Valka
2 : 5 FK Karosta
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Aliance
(Away) 19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2 Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6 JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5 Aliance
Page 1 of 4
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2 Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5 Aliance
02 Jun
AFA Olaine
3 : 0 Aliance
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
