Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Jefremovs V.
32'
32'
Cibulskis M.
42'
42'
Attikis T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-5, with FK Karosta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Karosta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Valka haven't matched FK Karosta's recent run of results.
- FK Karosta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- FK Karosta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Valka Clean Sheet 10%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valka | FK Karosta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 20 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.53 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2020 Latvian Cup
Valka vs FK Karosta
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valka Compare
Top Goalscorer Cibulskis M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Teters R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
FK Karosta Compare
Top Goalscorer Jefremovs V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Attikis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valka 10 / 100
FK Karosta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valka FK Karosta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Karosta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Valka scored in 71% of their last 17 games.
FK Karosta let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.
Difficult form: FK Karosta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valka VS FK Karosta
1 Goals Scored 3
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Valka
(Home) 30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1 Valka
28 May
Valka
0 : 7 Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2 Gulbenes
Page 1 of 4
30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
28 May
Valka
0 : 7 Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2 Gulbenes
23 Aug
Valka
2 : 5 FK Karosta
Page 1 of 3
FK Karosta
(Away) 27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1 FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2 Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1 FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1 FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0 FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4
27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1 FK Karosta
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1 FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1 FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0 FK Karosta
23 Aug
Valka
2 : 5 FK Karosta
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 2
DSVK Traktors 1
TBD -
Grobina -
Valka -
TBD -
FK Karosta 4
Jurmalas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
Dinamo Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Liepajas FS 1
Jekabpils SC 4
TBD -
Rezekne -
Upesciems 1
FK Limbazi 3
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Gauja 2
Bebri 3
Lielupe 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 4
Sports United/Cesis 2
Kauguri-PBLC 6
Aliance 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils -
TBD -
Dobele Allegro 3
RTU 2
Marupe 0
Albatroz 1
Lubana 1
Kalupe 13
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 4
Krimulda 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Super Nova -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/32-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 1
Grobina 7
Valka 2
FK Karosta 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Dinamo Riga 7
FK Alberts 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Jekabpils SC 0
Rezekne 3
FK Limbazi 0
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 0
Kauguri-PBLC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 7
Dobele Allegro 0
Albatroz 5
Kalupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Super Nova 3
Salaspils FK 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/16-finals
Grobina 3
FK Karosta 0
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 3
Dinamo Riga 4
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne 2
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Priekuli 1
Kauguri-PBLC 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 3
Albatroz 2
TBD -
Ventspils -
FK Auda Riga 5
Super Nova 1
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/8-finals
Grobina 2
Spartaks Jurmala 5
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Valmiera 5
Rezekne 1
Tukums 2000 3
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Jelgava 9
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 4
FK Auda Riga 0
RFS 8
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 0
Quarter-finals
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 3
Valmiera 1
Tukums 2000 0
Jelgava 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 3
Riga FC 2
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 0
Final
FK Liepaja 1
Ventspils 0
