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Valladares vs Gran Pena

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Valladares Logo

Valladares

0 - 0
FT
Gran Pena Logo

Gran Pena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Valladares
35%
Draws
41%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gran Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Valladares haven't matched Gran Pena's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gran Pena's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Valladares Clean Sheet 17%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladares Gran Pena
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Gran Pena
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Valladares
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladares 20 / 100
Gran Pena 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladares Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valladares scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Gran Pena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Valladares has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gran Pena
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladares

(Home)
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1
Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0
Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

Gran Pena

(Away)
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)