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Valladolid vs Estrela da Amadora Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Wed, Nov 19, 2025
2 - 3
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Canos S.
32' Event
Sanchez J.
41' Event
Stoica I.

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela da Amadora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Valladolid
35%
Draws
32%
Estrela da Amadora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Estrela da Amadora haven't matched Valladolid's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Valladolid's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 14%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladolid Estrela da Amadora
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Valladolid vs Estrela da Amadora
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladolid Compare

Top Goalscorer Canos S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Estrela da Amadora Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoica I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonetti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladolid 41 / 100
Estrela da Amadora 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladolid Estrela da Amadora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Valladolid found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Estrela da Amadora let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Valladolid went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valladolid VS Estrela da Amadora
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladolid

(Home)
27 Sept
Valladolid
3 : 1
Cordoba
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
05 Sept
Valladolid
1 : 0
FC Andorra
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1
Valladolid
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Estrela da Amadora

(Away)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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