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Valle Egues vs Bidezarra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
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Match Events

11' Event
Pena Aguilar D. F.
52' Event
Aldave A.
Own Goal
87' Event
Aldave A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Valle Egues and Bidezarra finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bidezarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valle Egues
35%
Draws
25%
Bidezarra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valle Egues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Valle Egues carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valle Egues's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 68%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valle Egues Bidezarra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.52 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Bidezarra
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Valle Egues
0:2
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Bidezarra
3:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Valle Egues
0:0
Aug 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Bidezarra vs Valle Egues
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valle Egues Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena Aguilar D. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aldave A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valle Egues 68 / 100
Bidezarra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valle Egues Bidezarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valle Egues Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valle Egues scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Bidezarra let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Valle Egues stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valle Egues VS Bidezarra
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valle Egues

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3
Valle Egues
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 6

Bidezarra

(Away)
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)