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Valle Egues vs Burlades

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Goikoetxea X.
56' Event
Goikoetxea X.
88' Event
Navarro I.

AI Match Summary

Valle Egues in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valle Egues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Valle Egues
30%
Draws
31%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valle Egues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Valle Egues have won more games recently than Burlades.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Valle Egues taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valle Egues have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 20%
Burlades Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valle Egues Burlades
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Valle Egues
0:3
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Burlades
2:1
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Valle Egues
2:3
Oct 22, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Burlades
2:0
Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Burlades
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valle Egues Compare

Top Goalscorer Goikoetxea X.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Burlades Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valle Egues 67 / 100
Burlades 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valle Egues Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valle Egues Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valle Egues scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Burlades's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Valle Egues went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valle Egues VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valle Egues

(Home)
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 6

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)