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Vallee d'Aoste vs Novese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vallee d'Aoste in this Serie D - Group A 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vallee d'Aoste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vallee d'Aoste
15%
Draws
85%
Novese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vallee d'Aoste lately — more wins on the board than Novese.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Vallee d'Aoste taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vallee d'Aoste Clean Sheet 20%
Novese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vallee d'Aoste Novese
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 27
Goals Scored 1.07 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Vallee d'Aoste vs Novese
1:0
Nov 2, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Vallee d'Aoste
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vallee d'Aoste 85 / 100
Novese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vallee d'Aoste Novese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vallee d'Aoste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 35 matches.

Difficult form: Novese registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vallee d'Aoste's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novese
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vallee d'Aoste

(Home)
10 May
Acqui US
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
03 May
Vallee d'Aoste
0 : 1
Cuneo
26 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
19 Apr
Vallee d'Aoste
2 : 3
AC Chieri
12 Apr
Derthona FbC
2 : 0
Vallee d'Aoste
Page 1 of 6

Novese

(Away)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuneo 38 24 7 7 63:30 79
2 Sestri Levante 38 22 12 4 48:24 78
3 AC Chieri 38 22 8 8 60:36 74
4 Borgosesia Calcio 38 22 7 9 73:46 73
5 Caronnese 38 19 14 5 62:33 71
6 Pro Settimo 38 19 9 10 56:41 66
7 Bra 38 18 11 9 68:49 65
8 OltrepoVoghera 38 18 7 13 59:50 61
9 Lavagnese 38 16 10 12 50:43 58
10 Acqui US 38 14 12 12 53:49 54
11 Sporting Bellinzago 38 14 9 15 56:60 51
12 Vado 38 13 8 17 54:62 47
13 Novese 38 12 9 17 45:48 45
14 Asti Calcio 38 11 11 16 40:50 44
15 Argentina 38 11 11 16 58:70 44
16 RapalloBogliasco 38 11 9 18 46:57 42
17 Sancolombano 38 7 12 19 29:48 33
18 Derthona FbC 38 6 9 23 30:61 27
19 Vallee d'Aoste 38 5 6 27 37:74 21
20 Borgomanero 38 3 5 30 29:85 14
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
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