Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vallemaggia vs Lugano

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lugano in this Swiss Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Vallemaggia
15%
Draws
66%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / High Confidence
  • Vallemaggia haven't matched Lugano's recent run of results.
  • Lugano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lugano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lugano, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vallemaggia Clean Sheet 14%
Lugano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vallemaggia Lugano
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 1 20
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 0.75 2.34
Goals Conceded 5.75 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2008 Swiss Cup
Vallemaggia vs Lugano
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vallemaggia 10 / 100
Lugano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vallemaggia Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Vallemaggia found the back of the net in 25% of recent matches (4 games).

Lugano let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Vallemaggia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lugano
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vallemaggia

(Home)
08 Feb
Mendrisio
11 : 0
Vallemaggia
10 Nov
Vallemaggia
0 : 6
Grasshoppers
15 Sept
Vallemaggia
3 : 1
Bumpliz
21 Sept
Vallemaggia
0 : 5
Lugano

Lugano

(Away)
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
30 Aug
Sion
1 : 2
Lugano
27 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 1
Lugano
20 Aug
Lugano
2 : 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Young Boys 6
Ibach 0
Wacker Grenchen 1
Alle 3
Seefeld 1
Winterthur 0
Thalwil 1
Gossau 3
Bellinzona 5
Oerlikon/Polizei Zurich 1
FC Allmendingen 0
Zofingen 2
Wohlen 2
Sursee 0
Bruhl SG 0
Grasshoppers 5
Zurich 6
FC Widnau 0
FC Amriswil 2
Schaffhausen 3
Hongg 2
FC Bassersdorf 0
GC Biaschesi 0
Wil 1
Thun 5
FC Windisch 1
FC Baulmes 1
Bavois 3
Bulle 2
FC Tavannes/Tramelan 0
Schotz 0
Basel 1
Luzern 3
FC Plaffeien 0
Biel 2
Grenchen 3
Yverdon 7
Le Locle 0
FC Plan-les-Ouates 0
La Chaux-De-Fonds 3
Xamax 2
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Lancy 0
Lausanne 3
Servette 6
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Liestal 0
Concordia 3
St. Gallen 2
FC Bazenheid 0
SC Binningen 2
Aarau 6
Lugano 5
Vallemaggia 0
FC Kreuzlingen 1
Locarno 3
Malley 3
Chenois 1
Racing Club GE 1
Echallens 2
Le Mont 2
Stade Nyonnais 0
Etoile-Carouge 0
Sion 5
1/16-finals
Young Boys 5
Alle 0
Seefeld 1
Gossau 3
Bellinzona 3
Zofingen 2
Wohlen 2
Grasshoppers 3
Zurich 1
Schaffhausen 0
Hongg 0
Wil 3
Thun 1
Bavois 0
Bulle 1
Basel 4
Luzern 3
Grenchen 0
Yverdon 1
La Chaux-De-Fonds 2
Xamax 2
Lausanne 1
Servette 1
Concordia 3
St. Gallen 2
Aarau 0
Lugano 1
Locarno 3
Malley 3
Echallens 2
Le Mont 2
Sion 5
1/8-finals
Young Boys 1
Gossau 0
Bellinzona 1
Grasshoppers 2
Zurich 1
Wil 0
Thun 0
Basel 4
Luzern 4
La Chaux-De-Fonds 0
Xamax 0
Concordia 4
St. Gallen 2
Locarno 0
Malley 0
Sion 1
Quarter-finals
Young Boys 3
Grasshoppers 0
Zurich 0
Basel 1
Luzern 2
Concordia 0
St. Gallen 1
Sion 2
Semi-finals
Young Boys 1
Basel 0
Luzern 1
Sion 2
Final
Young Boys 2
Sion 3