Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valletta vs Hamrun

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Tavares D.
46'
Sub
Meijer S. In: Mendoza J.
Out: Meijer S.
46'
Sub
Yankam Y. In: Thaylor
Out: Yankam Y.

AI Match Summary

Valletta in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valletta
40%
Draws
29%
Hamrun
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valletta lately — more wins on the board than Hamrun.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Valletta Clean Sheet 16%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valletta Hamrun
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 21 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
0:2
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
2:1
Mar 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Valletta vs Hamrun
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Valletta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adebayo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Compri
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valletta 31 / 100
Hamrun 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valletta Hamrun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valletta found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (39 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Valletta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Hamrun has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valletta VS Hamrun
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valletta

(Home)
11 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Valletta
23 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Gzira
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2
Hamrun
09 May
Valletta
0 : 1
Floriana
02 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Hamrun
Page 1 of 8

Hamrun

(Away)
16 Jul
Hamrun
1 : 2
NSI Runavik
09 Jul
NSI Runavik
1 : 1
Hamrun
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2
Hamrun
09 May
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Hamrun
02 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Hamrun
Page 1 of 7