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Valletta vs Hamrun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Premier League Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Villela L.
22'
Villela L.
39' Event
Villela L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Valletta and Hamrun finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamrun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valletta
30%
Draws
30%
Hamrun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hamrun haven't matched Valletta's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Valletta taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Valletta Clean Sheet 68%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valletta Hamrun
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
1:2
May 15, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
0:2
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
2:1
Mar 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Valletta vs Hamrun
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbende E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Villela L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valletta 59 / 100
Hamrun 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valletta Hamrun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valletta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valletta's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hamrun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Valletta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valletta VS Hamrun
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valletta

(Home)
25 Oct
Valletta
1 : 2
Hamrun
21 Oct
Mosta FC
0 : 2
Valletta
17 Oct
Valletta
2 : 1
Sliema
10 Oct
Birkirkara
0 : 2
Valletta
19 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 3
Valletta
Page 1 of 7

Hamrun

(Away)
25 Oct
Valletta
1 : 2
Hamrun
21 Oct
Hamrun
1 : 1
Balzan FC
18 Oct
Gzira
2 : 2
Hamrun
11 Oct
Hamrun
2 : 2
Hibernians
18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1
Marsaxlokk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 10 7 1 2 22:9 22
2 Marsaxlokk 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
3 Sliema 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Floriana 9 4 4 1 21:12 16
5 Hamrun 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
6 Birkirkara 10 4 2 4 12:9 14
7 Mosta FC 9 3 4 2 13:13 13
8 Hibernians 9 3 3 3 9:12 12
9 Balzan FC 10 2 5 3 12:12 11
10 Zabbar 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
11 Gzira 10 0 5 5 9:21 5
12 Birzebbuga 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)