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Valletta vs Victoria Wanderers

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Scicluna J.
52' Event
Mushagalusa E.
80' Event
Mushagalusa E.

AI Match Summary

Valletta in this FA Trophy 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Valletta
20%
Draws
38%
Victoria Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Victoria Wanderers average 2.33 goals a game right now, well clear of Valletta's 1.75.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Valletta taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Valletta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Valletta Clean Sheet 13%
Victoria Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valletta Victoria Wanderers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 0
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.75 2.33
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 FA Trophy
Valletta vs Victoria Wanderers
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mushagalusa E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Scicluna J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Victoria Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valletta 40 / 100
Victoria Wanderers 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valletta Victoria Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Valletta's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Victoria Wanderers has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Victoria Wanderers registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valletta VS Victoria Wanderers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Valletta

(Home)
23 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 1
Valletta
11 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Valletta
23 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Gzira
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2
Hamrun
09 May
Valletta
0 : 1
Floriana
Page 1 of 6

Victoria Wanderers

(Away)
26 Apr
Birzebbuga
2 : 1
Victoria Wanderers
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Birkirkara
3 : 1
Victoria Wanderers
12 Jan
Valletta
4 : 0
Victoria Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fgura-
TBD-
TBD-
Attard-
Birkirkara-
TBD-
TBD-
Balzan FC-
Gudja-
TBD-
TBD-
Gzira-
Valletta3
Nadur1
Mgarr2
Victoria Wanderers3
Xaghra-
TBD-
Victoria Hotspurs3
Senglea0
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Xewkija-
Marsaxlokk-
TBD-
TBD-
Mosta FC-
Sirens3
Santa Lucia1
TBD-
Qrendi-
Lija-
TBD-
TBD-
Zabbar-
Hamrun-
TBD-
Swieqi1
Mtarfa0
Pieta-
TBD-
TBD-
Marsa-
Sliema-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghajnsielem-
Qala Saints-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Andrews-
Hibernians-
TBD-
Zebbug6
Oratory1
Zurrieq-
TBD-
Tarxien1
Mellieha2
Naxxar Lions-
TBD-
TBD-
Melita-
1/16-finals
Fgura3
Attard1
Birkirkara2
Balzan FC1
Gudja0
Gzira5
Valletta4
Victoria Wanderers0
Xaghra1
Victoria Hotspurs5
Floriana2
Xewkija0
Marsaxlokk0
Mosta FC3
Sirens0
Qrendi2
Lija0
Zabbar5
Hamrun5
Swieqi0
Pieta1
Marsa5
Sliema8
Ghajnsielem0
Qala Saints2
St. Andrews0
Hibernians3
Zebbug0
Zurrieq1
Mellieha0
Naxxar Lions4
Melita2
1/8-finals
Fgura0
Birkirkara3
Gzira0
Valletta1
Victoria Hotspurs1
Floriana4
Mosta FC4
Qrendi0
Zabbar1
Hamrun2
Marsa0
Sliema4
Qala Saints0
Hibernians3
Zurrieq0
Naxxar Lions4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara3
Valletta1
Floriana2
Mosta FC0
Hamrun2
Sliema0
Hibernians2
Naxxar Lions0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara2
Floriana1
Hamrun1
Hibernians2
Final
Birkirkara1
Hibernians2