Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic

USA USA

US Open Cup Fresno State Soccer Stadium, Fresno, CA
Valley 559 FC Logo

Valley 559 FC

0 - 4
FT
Sacramento Republic Logo

Sacramento Republic

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Desmond L.
Assist: Wanner D.
36' Event
Wanner D.
Assist: Edwards K.
38' Event
Edwards K.
Assist: Cambridge B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Sacramento Republic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Valley 559 FC
30%
Draws
34%
Sacramento Republic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valley 559 FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Valley 559 FC haven't matched Sacramento Republic's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Valley 559 FC taking it.
  • Sacramento Republic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sacramento Republic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Valley 559 FC Clean Sheet 10%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valley 559 FC Sacramento Republic
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 1 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 4 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 US Open Cup
Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valley 559 FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sacramento Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Desmond L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valley 559 FC 34 / 100
Sacramento Republic 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valley 559 FC Sacramento Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sacramento Republic let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Valley 559 FC scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Valley 559 FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valley 559 FC VS Sacramento Republic
0 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valley 559 FC

(Home)
01 Apr
Valley 559 FC
0 : 4
Sacramento Republic
19 Mar
AV Alta FC
0 : 1
Valley 559 FC

Sacramento Republic

(Away)
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0
Sacramento Republic
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1
Rhode Island
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1
New Mexico
14 Jun
Colorado Springs
0 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Naples3
Red Force0
South Georgia Tormenta-
America CFL Spurs-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando City-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhode Island4
Faialense0
Motown0
Hartford Athletic2
Chattanooga2
Kalonji1
Tennessee Tempo1
Chattanooga Red Wolves0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Charlotte FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Charlotte Independence4
Ristozi FC1
Charleston2
Florida Badgers1
Richmond Kickers2
Northern Virginia0
West Chester United1
Loudoun United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
DC United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Asheville City3
Greenville Triumph1
Vistula1
One Knoxville3
Vermont Green1
Portland Hearts of Pine0
Westchester SC2
NY Renegades0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Steel City1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Carolina Core1
Virginia Dream2
Flint City2
Forward Madison0
Detroit City5
Michigan Rangers1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
St. Louis City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Antonio FC6
New Stars0
Little Rock Rangers2
FC Tulsa4
Lexington9
Flower City Union0
Louisville City2
Southern Indiana0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Austin FC-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New Mexico3
Cruizers FC2
Laredo Heat0
El Paso Locomotive2
Colorado Springs3
Azteca0
Ventura1
Spokane Velocity2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting Kansas City-
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Indy Eleven3
Menace0
BOHFS St. Louis0
Union Omaha8
AV Alta FC0
Valley 559 FC1
Sacramento Republic2
El Farolito0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minnesota United-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orange County SC3
Laguna United0
Phoenix Rising4
San Ramon0
1/32-finals
FC Naples3
America CFL Spurs0
TBD-
Orlando City-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
Rhode Island2
Hartford Athletic0
Chattanooga1
Tennessee Tempo0
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Charlotte FC-
TBD-
Charlotte Independence3
Charleston2
Richmond Kickers1
Loudoun United0
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
DC United-
TBD-
Asheville City1
One Knoxville2
Vermont Green0
Westchester SC1
TBD-
New York City-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Virginia Dream0
Flint City0
Detroit City1
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
St. Louis City-
TBD-
San Antonio FC0
FC Tulsa1
Lexington0
Louisville City2
TBD-
Austin FC-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
New Mexico0
El Paso Locomotive4
Colorado Springs2
Spokane Velocity1
TBD-
Sporting Kansas City-
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
Indy Eleven1
Union Omaha2
Valley 559 FC0
Sacramento Republic4
TBD-
Minnesota United-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
Orange County SC1
Phoenix Rising2
1/16-finals
FC Naples0
Orlando City1
New England Revolution2
Rhode Island1
Chattanooga1
Atlanta United3
Charlotte FC6
Charlotte Independence0
Richmond Kickers0
Columbus Crew3
DC United3
One Knoxville4
Westchester SC2
New York City5
New York Red Bulls3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Detroit City1
Chicago Fire2
St. Louis City4
FC Tulsa0
Louisville City2
Austin FC1
Houston Dynamo4
El Paso Locomotive1
Colorado Springs3
Sporting Kansas City0
Colorado Rapids1
Union Omaha0
Sacramento Republic0
Minnesota United1
San Jose Earthquakes2
Phoenix Rising0
1/8-finals
Orlando City4
New England Revolution3
Atlanta United2
Charlotte FC0
Columbus Crew4
One Knoxville1
New York City3
New York Red Bulls1
Chicago Fire1
St. Louis City2
Louisville City1
Houston Dynamo2
Colorado Springs2
Colorado Rapids3
Minnesota United2
San Jose Earthquakes4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City4
Atlanta United1
Columbus Crew1
New York City0
St. Louis City3
Houston Dynamo2
Colorado Rapids2
San Jose Earthquakes0
Semi-finals
Orlando City-
Columbus Crew-
St. Louis City-
Colorado Rapids-
Final
TBD-
TBD-