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Valley Quakes vs Bakersfield

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valley Quakes in this USL Premier Development League 2007 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valley Quakes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Valley Quakes
15%
Draws
7%
Bakersfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valley Quakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Valley Quakes have won more games recently than Bakersfield.
  • Win probability leans Valley Quakes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Valley Quakes Clean Sheet 16%
Bakersfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valley Quakes Bakersfield
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.83 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2008 USL League Two
Valley Quakes vs Bakersfield
1:1
Jun 1, 2008 USL League Two
Bakersfield vs Valley Quakes
1:1
Jun 15, 2007 USL League Two
Valley Quakes vs Bakersfield
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valley Quakes 84 / 100
Bakersfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valley Quakes Bakersfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valley Quakes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valley Quakes's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bakersfield let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Valley Quakes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valley Quakes VS Bakersfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valley Quakes

(Home)
26 Jul
Valley Quakes
1 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
21 Jul
Valley Quakes
2 : 1
Fresno FC 2
18 Jul
Valley Quakes
3 : 2
Ventura
13 Jul
Fresno FC 2
1 : 4
Valley Quakes
11 Jul
Valley Quakes
3 : 1
La Laguna
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Bakersfield

(Away)
19 Jul
Ogden
6 : 0
Bakersfield
18 Jul
BYU Cougars
3 : 0
Bakersfield
12 Jul
Southern California Eagles
1 : 1
Bakersfield
11 Jul
Bakersfield
2 : 3
Lancaster Rattlers
04 Jul
Bakersfield
0 : 3
Fresno FC 2
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