Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valmiera 2 vs Super Nova

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Rotar C.
Assist: Omori Y.
45'
Penka R.
46'
Sub
Strupiss K. In: Silagailis H.
Out: Strupiss K.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2024 game between Valmiera 2 and Super Nova finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valmiera 2
30%
Draws
41%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Valmiera 2 haven't matched Super Nova's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Super Nova
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 1. Liga
Super Nova vs Valmiera 2
4:1
Jun 16, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Super Nova
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotar C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Komorovskis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 31 / 100
Super Nova 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Valmiera 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Super Nova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Valmiera 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Super Nova
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)