Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Dembele M.
Assist: Kayramani F.
86' Event
Jassey S.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Valmiera and Alberts JDFS finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Valmiera
15%
Draws
40%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valmiera come out ahead of Alberts JDFS on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 16%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.8 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera
1:2
May 9, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS
1:1
Oct 7, 2017 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS
0:0
Jun 17, 2017 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera
0:3
Aug 13, 2016 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jassey S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 75 / 100
Alberts JDFS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera Alberts JDFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alberts JDFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Valmiera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Alberts JDFS
3.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 6

Alberts JDFS

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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