Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Valmiera

1 - 1

Alberts JDFS

Our Tip

Match Events

53'

Dembele M.

Assist: Kayramani F.

86'

Jassey S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Valmiera and Alberts JDFS finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Valmiera

Draws

Alberts JDFS

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Alberts JDFS come out ahead of Valmiera on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Valmiera Clean Sheet 13%

Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valmiera	Alberts JDFS
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	16	17
Draws	3	6
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	2.25	2.5
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Oct 7, 2017 Nakotnes liga

Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Jun 17, 2017 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Aug 13, 2016 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

1:6

Apr 16, 2016 Nakotnes liga

Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jassey S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 84 / 100

Alberts JDFS 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valmiera Alberts JDFS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Alberts JDFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Valmiera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Alberts JDFS

2.25 Goals Scored 2.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	25:10	28
4	Leevon PPK	12	7	3	2	20:15	24
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	20:24	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	15:20	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4