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Valmiera vs Leevon PPK

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

4 - 1
FT
Leevon PPK Logo

Leevon PPK

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Yamamura T.
Assist: Stepanovs V.
15' Event
Dembele M.
50' Event
Kurtiss M.
Assist: Baumanis R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Valmiera
15%
Draws
46%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmiera lately — more wins on the board than Leevon PPK.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 16%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera Leevon PPK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 3.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Leevon PPK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamura T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtiss M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 57 / 100
Leevon PPK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valmiera scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Valmiera has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leevon PPK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Leevon PPK
3 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1
RFS 2
Page 1 of 6

Leevon PPK

(Away)
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Rezekne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 19 15 3 1 56:18 48
2 FK Metta 19 15 3 1 79:16 48
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 19 13 5 1 45:17 44
5 Alberts JDFS 19 11 4 4 40:26 37
6 Marupe 19 8 1 10 29:32 25
7 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
8 Super Nova 2 19 6 6 7 26:28 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 JFK Ventspils 18 2 6 10 20:33 12
12 Tukums 2000 2 18 3 3 12 23:54 12
13 FK Smiltene 19 2 4 13 23:56 10
14 Rezekne 19 1 2 16 14:59 5
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