Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Valmiera

4 - 1

Leevon PPK

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Yamamura T.

Assist: Stepanovs V.

15'

Dembele M.

50'

Kurtiss M.

Assist: Baumanis R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Valmiera

Draws

Leevon PPK

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Valmiera lately — more wins on the board than Leevon PPK.
90% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Valmiera Clean Sheet 13%

Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valmiera	Leevon PPK
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	16	15
Draws	3	7
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	2.38	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Valmiera vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamura T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dembele M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtiss M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 84 / 100

Leevon PPK 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valmiera Leevon PPK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valmiera scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Valmiera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Leevon PPK

2.38 Goals Scored 2.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	13	11	1	1	46:11	34
2	Valmiera	13	10	2	1	35:12	32
3	Riga Mariners	13	8	4	1	26:12	28
4	Leevon PPK	13	8	3	2	22:16	27
5	Alberts JDFS	13	7	2	4	28:21	23
6	Marupe	13	6	1	6	22:19	19
7	Riga FC 2	13	6	1	6	21:23	19
8	Super Nova 2	13	5	4	4	20:19	19
9	Skanste	13	4	1	8	20:27	13
10	JFK Ventspils	13	2	4	7	16:23	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	FK Smiltene	13	1	4	8	13:33	7
14	Rezekne	13	1	2	10	10:37	5