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Valmiera vs RFS 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kayramani F.
35' Event
Balde A.
Assist: Korac D.
42' Event
Lopes G.
Assist: Dembele M.

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Valmiera
15%
Draws
20%
RFS 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Valmiera have won more games recently than RFS 2.
  • Model gives Valmiera a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 68%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera RFS 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.69 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs RFS 2
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Valmiera
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayramani F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 95 / 100
RFS 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera RFS 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: RFS 2 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Valmiera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS RFS 2
3.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 6

RFS 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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