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Valmiera vs Riga FC 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lopes G.
Assist: Dembele M.
58' Event
Lopes G.
Assist: Dembele M.
85' Event
Dembele M.
Assist: Kayramani F.

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Valmiera
17%
Draws
13%
Riga FC 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 haven't matched Valmiera's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valmiera a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 68%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera Riga FC 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Valmiera vs Riga FC 2
3:0
Mar 21, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Valmiera
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Riga FC 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 77 / 100
Riga FC 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera Riga FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Riga FC 2 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Valmiera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Riga FC 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0
Riga FC 2
18 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
Valmiera
12 Jul
Valmiera
2 : 4
Ogre United
05 Jul
Valmiera
4 : 1
Leevon PPK
28 Jun
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Valmiera
Page 1 of 6

Riga FC 2

(Away)
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0
Riga FC 2
19 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
04 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
27 Jun
RFS 2
1 : 3
Riga FC 2
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta14121155:1137
2Valmiera14112138:1235
3Leevon PPK1493224:1730
4Riga Mariners1485127:1329
5Alberts JDFS1473429:2224
6Marupe1471624:2022
7Super Nova 21455421:2020
8Riga FC 21461721:2619
9Skanste1441921:2913
10RFS 21433820:3112
11JFK Ventspils1425717:2411
12Tukums 2000 21432918:4011
13FK Smiltene1414916:387
14Rezekne14121111:395
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