Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valmiera vs Tukums 2000 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valmiera host Tukums 2000 2 in the 1. Liga. Valmiera go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Valmiera at 2.59 goals for, 1.28 against; Tukums 2000 2 at 1.43 for, 2.75 against. Past meetings favor Valmiera slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 3.38 vs 1.31, favoring Valmiera. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Valmiera
20%
Draws
34%
Tukums 2000 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Valmiera have won more games recently than Tukums 2000 2.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 18%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.59 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Valmiera
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 85 / 100
Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera Tukums 2000 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Tukums 2000 2 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Valmiera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Tukums 2000 2
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
10 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
Page 1 of 6

Tukums 2000 2

(Away)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 22 18 3 1 93:17 57
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 22 14 5 3 50:27 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 22 10 2 10 37:34 32
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 22 4 3 15 36:65 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
Promotion - Virsliga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Virsliga (Relegation)