Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Valmiera host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. Valmiera go into this one as the clear favorite. Ventspils have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Valmiera have conceded 1.26 and scored 2.61. Past meetings favor Valmiera slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 0.94, favoring Valmiera. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Valmiera have won more games recently than Ventspils.
- Win probability leans Valmiera's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valmiera | Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 12 |
| Wins | 22 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.61 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valmiera scored in 97% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Ventspils conceded in 83% of 12 recent games.
Recent resilience: Valmiera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valmiera
(Home)Ventspils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
