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Valour vs Cavalry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Canadian Premier League 2025 Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, MB
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Match Events

23' Event
Fernandez Z.
Assist: Antonoglou T.
56' Event
Morgan M.
Assist: Antonoglou T.
60' Event
Gutierrez D.
Assist: Warschewski T.

AI Match Summary

Valour in this Canadian Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valour.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valour
20%
Draws
51%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cavalry lately — more wins on the board than Valour.
  • Win probability leans Cavalry's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cavalry here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Valour Clean Sheet 16%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valour Cavalry
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.3 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Valour
3:0
Jul 30, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Cavalry
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Cavalry
1:2
May 25, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Valour
4:0
Oct 19, 2024 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Cavalry
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valour Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valour 19 / 100
Cavalry 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valour Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Valour found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cavalry conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Valour stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cavalry
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valour

(Home)
18 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 4
Valour
11 Oct
Valour
0 : 3
HFX Wanderers
05 Oct
Valour
3 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
28 Sept
Inter Toronto
1 : 0
Valour
20 Sept
Cavalry
3 : 0
Valour
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forge FC 28 16 10 2 51:22 58
2 Atletico Ottawa 28 15 11 2 54:28 56
3 Cavalry 28 11 9 8 47:36 42
4 HFX Wanderers 28 11 6 11 41:34 39
5 Inter Toronto 28 10 8 10 43:38 38
6 Valour 28 7 5 16 35:62 26
7 Pacific FC 28 5 8 15 30:59 23
8 Vancouver FC 28 4 9 15 35:57 21
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)