Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Valur host Akranes in the Besta deild karla. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Valur have averaged 1.73 scored and 2.2 conceded recently, against Akranes's 1.94 scored and 1.84 conceded. Head-to-head, Valur have won 1 to Akranes's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.94, favoring Akranes. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Akranes lately — more wins on the board than Valur.
- Model gives Akranes a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valur | Akranes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valur scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Akranes let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Valur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valur
(Home)Akranes
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 62:18 | 48 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 67:42 | 40 |
| 3 | Fram | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48:35 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39:33 | 30 |
| 5 | Akranes | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33:37 | 25 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30:34 | 25 |
| 7 | Valur | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35:40 | 23 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 34:46 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 30:41 | 17 |
| 10 | Hafnarfjordur | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24:36 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 28:40 | 16 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:46 | 15 |
