Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Ellertsson M. P.
Assist: Unnarsson G.
39'
39'
Gardarson D.
41'
41'
Berndsen B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Akranes lately — more wins on the board than Valur.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valur | Akranes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Akranes
2:2
Jun 16, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Valur
1:0
Feb 26, 2026 League Cup
Akranes vs Valur
2:1
Aug 5, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Valur
2:2
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Akranes
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valur Compare
Top Goalscorer Heimisson L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jonsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Akranes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ellertsson M. P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berndsen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valur 29 / 100
Akranes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valur Akranes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valur scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Akranes let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Valur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valur VS Akranes
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Valur
(Home) 20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1 Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1 Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2 Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2 Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0 Valur
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1 Thor Akureyri
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2 Akranes
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4 KA Akureyri
06 Aug
Valur
0 : 2 Nordsjaelland
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3 Stjarnan
Page 1 of 3
Akranes
(Away) 20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1 Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1 Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1 KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2 Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1 Akranes
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2 Akranes
16 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 3 Akranes
20 Jul
Keflavik
5 : 2 Akranes
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2 Akranes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 67:21 | 53 |
| 2 | Fram | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 56:42 | 45 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 74:49 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43:41 | 30 |
| 5 | Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 39:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:38 | 28 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 42:50 | 28 |
| 8 | Valur | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:45 | 27 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 27:39 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:50 | 21 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 35:48 | 20 |
| 12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 32:45 | 18 |
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)
