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Valur vs Fram - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hlídarendi, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Heimisson L.
Assist: Antonsson B.
22' Event
Sigurdsson F.
Assist: Jonasson A.
26' Event
Asgrimsson H.
Assist: Jonasson A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Valur and Fram finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Valur
35%
Draws
28%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fram come out ahead of Valur on wins alone.
  • Valur are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fram have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur Fram
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.67 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Fram
2:3
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Fram
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur Compare

Top Goalscorer Heimisson L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asgrimsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur 47 / 100
Fram 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Fram's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Valur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valur VS Fram
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 6

Fram

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)