Sport Picks

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Valur vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hlídarendi
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valur play Fram in the Besta deild karla. It looks like a close match. Recently, Valur averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Fram averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Valur won 2, Fram won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Valur and 2.31 for Fram. This points to a Fram double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valur
33%
Draws
27%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fram has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Valur.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Valur.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Besta deild karla provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur Fram
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Fram
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Reykjavik Cup
Valur vs Fram
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur 38 / 100
Fram 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur Fram

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Fram let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Valur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fram lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur VS Fram
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik1492348:3429
3Fram1383232:2527
4Breidablik1364332:2522
5Valur1461724:2719
6Keflavik1344518:2416
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1343622:2615
9Akranes1343617:2515
10KA Akureyri1331919:2810
11Hafnarfjordur1315718:318
12Thor Akureyri1322914:358