Sport Picks
Valur vs KA Akureyri
Iceland
Besta deild karla Hlídarendi, Reykjavík 
AI Match Summary
Valur host KA Akureyri in the Besta deild karla. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Valur have averaged 1.71 scored and 2.04 conceded recently, against KA Akureyri's 1.62 scored and 1.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Valur have won 3 to KA Akureyri's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.44) back Valur to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Valur have won more games recently than KA Akureyri.
- Model gives Valur a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valur | KA Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valur found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
KA Akureyri has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Valur went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valur
(Home)KA Akureyri
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 58:16 | 45 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 64:39 | 39 |
| 3 | Fram | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45:34 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:30 | 29 |
| 5 | Valur | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 31:36 | 22 |
| 6 | Akranes | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30:36 | 22 |
| 7 | Keflavik | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28:34 | 22 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33:43 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 29:38 | 17 |
| 10 | Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24:36 | 15 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:44 | 15 |
