Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Haraldsson T.
Assist: Palsson J.
64'
64'
Sub
Bjarnason E. In: Magnusson S.
Out: Bjarnason E.
65'
65'
Sub
Al Ghoul M. In: Elvarsson F.
Out: Al Ghoul M.
AI Match Summary
The Besta deild karla game between Valur and Keflavik finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Keflavik carry the better recent record into this one.
- Keflavik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valur | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Keflavik
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Valur
3:4
Aug 13, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Valur
1:1
May 21, 2023 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Keflavik
0:0
Jul 11, 2022 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Keflavik
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valur Compare
Top Goalscorer Haraldsson T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Keflavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Mudrazija M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valur 10 / 100
Keflavik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valur Keflavik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Keflavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valur scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Keflavik let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Valur has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Valur VS Keflavik
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Valur
(Home) 23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0 Valur
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4 KA Akureyri
13 Aug
Nordsjaelland
5 : 0 Valur
09 Aug
Breidablik
1 : 3 Valur
06 Aug
Valur
0 : 2 Nordsjaelland
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4 KA Akureyri
06 Aug
Valur
0 : 2 Nordsjaelland
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3 Stjarnan
23 Jul
Valur
1 : 0 Zrinjski
18 Jul
Valur
2 : 3 Fram
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Keflavik
(Away) 23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2 Keflavik
09 Aug
Stjarnan
1 : 0 Keflavik
05 Aug
Keflavik
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1 Keflavik
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15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2 Keflavik
09 Aug
Stjarnan
1 : 0 Keflavik
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1 Keflavik
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1 Keflavik
21 Jun
Valur
1 : 1 Keflavik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 64:18 | 51 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 72:45 | 43 |
| 3 | Fram | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 52:38 | 43 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42:37 | 30 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 31:34 | 28 |
| 6 | Akranes | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34:38 | 26 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38:48 | 24 |
| 8 | Valur | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 35:42 | 23 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25:37 | 18 |
| 10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 30:42 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31:45 | 16 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20:50 | 15 |
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)
