Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Hilmarsson H.
28'
28'
Alexandrenne A.
35'
35'
Falcon J. I.
AI Match Summary
Valur in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RB Keflavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Valur have won more games recently than RB Keflavik.
- Valur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Valur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Valur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Valur Clean Sheet 14%
RB Keflavik Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valur | RB Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 11 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 2.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 3.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Valur vs RB Keflavik
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valur Compare
Top Goalscorer Hilmarsson H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jonsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
RB Keflavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexandrenne A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valur 84 / 100
RB Keflavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valur RB Keflavik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RB Keflavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 11 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Valur scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Valur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Valur VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Valur
(Home) 05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2 Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2 Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0 Valur
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4 KA Akureyri
13 Aug
Nordsjaelland
5 : 0 Valur
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2 Akranes
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4 KA Akureyri
06 Aug
Valur
0 : 2 Nordsjaelland
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3 Stjarnan
23 Jul
Valur
1 : 0 Zrinjski
Page 1 of 3
RB Keflavik
(Away) 21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7 Reynir
14 Apr
RB Keflavik
0 : 4 Fjolnir
30 Mar
Alafoss
3 : 4 RB Keflavik
13 Apr
KA Asvellir
6 : 3 RB Keflavik
04 Apr
Midas
1 : 3 RB Keflavik
Page 1 of 3
30 Mar
Alafoss
3 : 4 RB Keflavik
13 Apr
KA Asvellir
6 : 3 RB Keflavik
04 Apr
Midas
1 : 3 RB Keflavik
19 Apr
Valur
4 : 1 RB Keflavik
25 Apr
Hviti
6 : 0 RB Keflavik
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
