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Valur W vs Breidablik W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Hlíðarendi Stadium
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valur W host Breidablik W in the Besta deild Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Breidablik W have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Valur W have conceded 1.38 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Breidablik W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.13) point toward Breidablik W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valur W
6%
Draws
90%
Breidablik W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Breidablik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Breidablik W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Breidablik W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Valur W Clean Sheet 10%
Breidablik W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Breidablik W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Valur W
3:2
Feb 5, 2026 League Cup Women
Breidablik W vs Valur W
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
0:3
May 16, 2025 Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Valur W
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 10 / 100
Breidablik W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Breidablik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Valur W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Breidablik W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Valur W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Breidablik W
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hafnarfjordur W1182137:1626
2Breidablik W1180331:1524
3Stjarnan W1163220:1121
4IBV Vestmannaeyjar W1162318:1820
5Throttur W1141614:1713
6Grindavik/Njardvik W1133512:2112
7Valur W1124510:1410
8Vikingur Reykjavik W1131719:3010
9Fram W1131712:2510
10Thor/KA W1123616:229