Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur W vs Breidablik W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Halldorsdottir H.
Assist: Kristjansdottir E.
12' Event
Eiriksdottir B.
Own Goal
22' Event
Halldorsdottir H.
Assist: Karlsdottir E. H.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Valur W and Breidablik W finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Breidablik W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valur W
20%
Draws
40%
Breidablik W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Breidablik W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Breidablik W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Valur W Clean Sheet 11%
Breidablik W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Breidablik W
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 7 23
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.19 3.06
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
1:7
May 11, 2026 Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Valur W
3:2
Feb 5, 2026 League Cup Women
Breidablik W vs Valur W
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsdottir R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Breidablik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Halldorsdottir H.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Albertsdottir A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 18 / 100
Breidablik W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Breidablik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breidablik W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Valur W found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Breidablik W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Valur W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Breidablik W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
12 Aug
Throttur W
3 : 2
Valur W
07 Aug
Valur W
1 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik W
Page 1 of 6

Breidablik W

(Away)
17 Sept
Breidablik W
4 : 1
Grindavik/Njardvik W
07 Sept
Throttur W
1 : 1
Breidablik W
02 Sept
Miercurea Ciuc W
0 : 1
Breidablik W
29 Aug
Breidablik W
1 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
26 Aug
Breidablik W
8 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)