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Stadium Background

Valur W vs Fylkir W

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League Cup Women 2025 Hlíðarendi Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bjorgvinsdottir G.
20' Event
Ingadottir J.
30' Event
Anasi N.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup Women 2025 game between Valur W and Fylkir W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Valur W
44%
Draws
20%
Fylkir W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Valur W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup games in League Cup Women 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Valur W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Valur W Clean Sheet 11%
Fylkir W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Fylkir W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Fylkir W
4:1
Aug 20, 2024 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Fylkir W
2:0
Jun 16, 2024 Besta deild Women
Fylkir W vs Valur W
1:4
Feb 14, 2024 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Fylkir W
5:1
Mar 4, 2022 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Fylkir W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorgvinsdottir G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingadottir J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fylkir W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldursdottir K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 35 / 100
Fylkir W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Fylkir W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FYL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fylkir W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Valur W scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Valur W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Fylkir W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thor/KA W540122:312
2Valur W540116:312
3Throttur W531119:410
4Fram W51134:144
5Fylkir W51043:183
6Tindastoll W51043:253
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Breidablik W550020:315
2Hafnarfjordur W52218:68
3Stjarnan W521211:77
4Keflavik W52127:77
5Vikingur Reykjavik W51224:85
6FHL W50051:200