Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur W vs Throttur W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
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Match Events

30' Event
Bergsdottir U.
Assist: Gunnlaugsdottir B.
46'
Sub
Eiriksdottir S. In: Tryggvadottir A. K.
Out: Eiriksdottir S.
51'
Czerwien A.

AI Match Summary

Throttur W in this Besta deild Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Valur W
35%
Draws
32%
Throttur W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Throttur W lately — more wins on the board than Valur W.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Valur W taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Valur W Clean Sheet 11%
Throttur W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Throttur W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.18 2
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Valur W
3:2
May 29, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Throttur W
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Valur W
1:0
Aug 20, 2025 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Valur W
0:2
Jun 11, 2025 Icelandic Cup Women
Valur W vs Throttur W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Throttur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergsdottir U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 35 / 100
Throttur W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Throttur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valur W scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Throttur W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Valur W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Throttur W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
Page 1 of 6

Throttur W

(Away)
27 Sept
Throttur W
5 : 1
Stjarnan W
18 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
4 : 3
Throttur W
12 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 2
Throttur W
07 Sept
Throttur W
1 : 1
Breidablik W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)