Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur W vs Throttur W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Bergsdottir U.
Assist: Gunnlaugsdottir B.
46'
Sub
Eiriksdottir S. In: Tryggvadottir A. K.
Out: Eiriksdottir S.
51'
Czerwien A.

AI Match Summary

Throttur W in this Besta deild Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Valur W
30%
Draws
37%
Throttur W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Throttur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Throttur W lately — more wins on the board than Valur W.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Valur W Clean Sheet 10%
Throttur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Throttur W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Valur W
3:2
May 29, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Throttur W
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Valur W
1:0
Aug 20, 2025 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Valur W
0:2
Jun 11, 2025 Icelandic Cup Women
Valur W vs Throttur W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Throttur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergsdottir U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 29 / 100
Throttur W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Throttur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valur W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Throttur W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Valur W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Throttur W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
12 Aug
Throttur W
3 : 2
Valur W
Page 1 of 6

Throttur W

(Away)
18 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
4 : 3
Throttur W
12 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 2
Throttur W
07 Sept
Throttur W
1 : 1
Breidablik W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
21 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
1 : 2
Throttur W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)