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Vancouver FC vs Cavalry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Willoughby Community Park Stadium, Langley, BC
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Match Events

23'
Kobza E.
25'
Polisi M.
37'
Traore A.

AI Match Summary

Vancouver FC in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vancouver FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vancouver FC
35%
Draws
35%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver FC haven't matched Cavalry's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cavalry a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC Cavalry
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.39 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Vancouver FC
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Cavalry
1:0
May 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Cavalry
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Cavalry
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Vancouver FC
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mousset L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cavalry Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 26 / 100
Cavalry 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Vancouver FC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cavalry conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Vancouver FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS Cavalry
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
06 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 2
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)