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Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal

Canada Canada

Championship Willoughby Community Park Stadium
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vancouver FC play CF Montreal in the Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vancouver FC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. CF Montreal averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Vancouver FC won 1, CF Montreal won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Vancouver FC and 1.44 for CF Montreal. This points to a CF Montreal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vancouver FC
17%
Draws
13%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vancouver FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • CF Montreal has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vancouver FC.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Vancouver FC.
  • Cup tournament structure in Championship increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 16%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC CF Montreal
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Championship
Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Championship
Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal
0-1
Feb 12, 2025 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC
2-0
Jan 12, 2025 Championship
Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal
3-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 66 / 100
CF Montreal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC CF Montreal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver FC scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

CF Montreal let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vancouver FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CF Montreal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS CF Montreal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
Cavalry-
CF Montreal-
Vancouver FC-
Forge FC-
CS Saint-Laurent-
Atletico Ottawa-
Supra du Quebec-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-