Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal

Canada Canada

Championship Willoughby Community Park Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Escobar O. In: Synchuk G.
Out: Escobar O.
54' Event
Mezquida N.
Assist: Pecile D.
63' Event
Campagna M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Montreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vancouver FC
30%
Draws
34%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vancouver FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Montreal lately — more wins on the board than Vancouver FC.
  • Model gives Vancouver FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 14%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC CF Montreal
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC
2:1
Jul 9, 2026 Championship
Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mezquida N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CF Montreal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 35 / 100
CF Montreal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC CF Montreal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Vancouver FC's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vancouver FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS CF Montreal
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-