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Vancouver FC vs Forge FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Willoughby Community Park Stadium, Langley, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
James M.
Assist: Filion M.
46'
Sub
Lee B. In: Fotsing E.
Out: Lee B.
61'
Sub
Filion M. In: Massunda H.
Out: Filion M.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Vancouver FC and Forge FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Vancouver FC
35%
Draws
45%
Forge FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forge FC come out ahead of Vancouver FC on wins alone.
  • Forge FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 16%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC Forge FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Forge FC
1:1
Aug 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
0:1
Jul 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Forge FC
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Doner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer James M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 23 / 100
Forge FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC Forge FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver FC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vancouver FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Forge FC let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS Forge FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Supra du Quebec
2 : 2
Vancouver FC
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
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Forge FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 0
Pacific FC
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)