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Stadium Background

Vancouver FC vs Valour

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2025 Willoughby Community Park Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Campbell T.
Assist: Mbongue H.
16' Event
Morgan M.
Assist: Froese K.
44' Event
Morgan M.
Assist: Froese K.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2025 game between Vancouver FC and Valour finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valour.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vancouver FC
6%
Draws
4%
Valour
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vancouver FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vancouver FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vancouver FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 18%
Valour Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC Valour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Valour
2:5
Jul 26, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Valour
1:3
Jun 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Vancouver FC
3:1
May 3, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Vancouver FC
1:3
Oct 13, 2024 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Valour
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbongue H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Valour Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Faria J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 85 / 100
Valour 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC Valour

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valour conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Vancouver FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Valour lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forge FC281610251:2258
2Atletico Ottawa281511254:2856
3Cavalry28119847:3642
4HFX Wanderers281161141:3439
5Inter Toronto281081043:3838
6Valour28751635:6226
7Pacific FC28581530:5923
8Vancouver FC28491535:5721