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Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Jones M. In: Johnson K.
Out: Jones M.
46'
Sub
Stanton N. In: Perrault J.
Out: Stanton N.
47' Event
Stewart T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between Vancouver Rise FC W and Calgary Wild FC W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calgary Wild FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vancouver Rise FC W
30%
Draws
47%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calgary Wild FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver Rise FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vancouver Rise FC W taking it.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 14%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Rise FC W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 27 23
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
3:1
Aug 29, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:2
Aug 8, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:3
Jul 11, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer de Filippo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baucom J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stewart K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Rise FC W 35 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Rise FC W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calgary Wild FC W let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Rise FC W scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Vancouver Rise FC W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Rise FC W VS Calgary Wild FC W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Rise FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
05 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
0 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
Page 1 of 6

Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)