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Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lopez M.
Assist: de Filippo J.
14' Event
Pechersky E.
Assist: Boychuk T.
17' Event
Oularbi A.
Assist: Lopez M.

AI Match Summary

Montreal Roses FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montreal Roses FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vancouver Rise FC W
35%
Draws
41%
Montreal Roses FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver Rise FC W haven't matched Montreal Roses FC W's recent run of results.
  • Vancouver Rise FC W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Rise FC W Montreal Roses FC W
Matches Played 27 23
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.89 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:2
Jul 30, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
3:4
Jul 4, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:3
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oularbi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pechersky E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bennett E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Rise FC W 34 / 100
Montreal Roses FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Rise FC W Montreal Roses FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Vancouver Rise FC W scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Montreal Roses FC W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Vancouver Rise FC W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Rise FC W VS Montreal Roses FC W
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Rise FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
05 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
0 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
Page 1 of 6

Montreal Roses FC W

(Away)
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)