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Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, BC
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Vancouver Rise FC W have averaged 1.93 scored and 2.34 conceded recently, against Montreal Roses FC W's 1.72 scored and 1.08 conceded. Past meetings favor Montreal Roses FC W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.50) back Montreal Roses FC W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vancouver Rise FC W
35%
Draws
41%
Montreal Roses FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Montreal Roses FC W have won more games recently than Vancouver Rise FC W.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Montreal Roses FC W taking it.
  • Montreal Roses FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Montreal Roses FC W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Rise FC W Montreal Roses FC W
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:2
Jul 30, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
3:4
Jul 4, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:3
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Rise FC W 23 / 100
Montreal Roses FC W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Rise FC W Montreal Roses FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montreal Roses FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Vancouver Rise FC W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Montreal Roses FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.

Vancouver Rise FC W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Rise FC W VS Montreal Roses FC W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Rise FC W

(Home)
25 Oct
Vancouver Rise FC W
3 : 2
Calgary Wild FC W
18 Oct
Ottawa Rapid FC W
5 : 2
Vancouver Rise FC W
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
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Montreal Roses FC W

(Away)
23 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
17 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Montreal Roses FC W -
Vancouver Rise FC W -
Ottawa Rapid FC W -
AFC Toronto W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -