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Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal

Canada Canada

Championship BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Wed, Sep 2, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Championship. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. CF Montreal have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Vancouver Whitecaps have conceded 1.63 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Vancouver Whitecaps slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.94) point toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vancouver Whitecaps
33%
Draws
27%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vancouver Whitecaps's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vancouver Whitecaps, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps CF Montreal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jun 8, 2023 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:1
Apr 2, 2023 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
5:0
Apr 16, 2022 MLS
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 38 / 100
CF Montreal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

CF Montreal has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vancouver Whitecaps went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS CF Montreal
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
22 Jul
FC Cincinnati
4 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
CF Montreal
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0
Toronto FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2
CF Montreal
23 May
DC United
4 : 4
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-