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Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal

Canada Canada

Championship BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

1 - 1
FT
CF Montreal Logo

CF Montreal

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pereira D.
30'
Rios D.
42'
Pereira D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vancouver Whitecaps
15%
Draws
28%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vancouver Whitecaps's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vancouver Whitecaps, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 20%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps CF Montreal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
Sep 3, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jun 8, 2023 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauld R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 85 / 100
CF Montreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

CF Montreal has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

CF Montreal lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS CF Montreal
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -