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Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

0 - 1
FT
Houston Dynamo Logo

Houston Dynamo

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Cubas A.
34' Event
Negri F.
37'
Resch A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Houston Dynamo in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Houston Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vancouver Whitecaps
30%
Draws
39%
Houston Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Houston Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo have won more games recently than Vancouver Whitecaps.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 68%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps Houston Dynamo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo
0:1
May 17, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo
1:1
Jul 17, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:3
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Houston Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Negri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 50 / 100
Houston Dynamo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps Houston Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Houston Dynamo has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Vancouver Whitecaps remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS Houston Dynamo
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

Houston Dynamo

(Away)
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)