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Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

1 - 3
FT
St. Louis City Logo

St. Louis City

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sabbi E.
23' Event
Becher S.
Assist: Matan A.
26'
Muller T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Vancouver Whitecaps
30%
Draws
51%
St. Louis City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Louis City come out ahead of Vancouver Whitecaps on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on St. Louis City taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps St. Louis City
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.82 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
1:3
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
3:2
Apr 20, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 MLS
St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:4
Jun 30, 2024 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabbi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Louis City Compare

Top Goalscorer Becher S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Totland T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 18 / 100
St. Louis City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps St. Louis City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Louis City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver Whitecaps's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

St. Louis City let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Vancouver Whitecaps stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS St. Louis City
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6

St. Louis City

(Away)
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1
Toronto FC
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)