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Vandra Vaprus vs Tartu SK 10 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Esiliiga 2013
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2013 game between Vandra Vaprus and Tartu SK 10 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vandra Vaprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vandra Vaprus
20%
Draws
57%
Tartu SK 10
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu SK 10

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vandra Vaprus haven't matched Tartu SK 10's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tartu SK 10 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vandra Vaprus have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 14%
Tartu SK 10 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vandra Vaprus Tartu SK 10
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2013 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Tartu SK 10
1:0
Aug 20, 2013 Esiliiga
Tartu SK 10 vs Vandra Vaprus
2:4
Jun 15, 2013 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Tartu SK 10
4:2
Mar 31, 2013 Esiliiga
Tartu SK 10 vs Vandra Vaprus
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vandra Vaprus 10 / 100
Tartu SK 10 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vandra Vaprus Tartu SK 10

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu SK 10 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tartu SK 10 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Vandra Vaprus scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Recent resilience: Vandra Vaprus stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vandra Vaprus VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vandra Vaprus

(Home)
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 8

Tartu SK 10

(Away)
10 Nov
Tulevik
1 : 1
Tartu SK 10
03 Nov
Tartu SK 10
4 : 3
Kivioli Irbis
27 Oct
Puuma
1 : 2
Tartu SK 10
20 Oct
Tartu SK 10
2 : 1
Rakvere
13 Oct
Vandra Vaprus
1 : 0
Tartu SK 10
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia Tallinn II 36 20 10 6 94:41 70
2 Johvi Phoenix 36 20 9 7 80:39 69
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 17 6 13 56:54 57
4 Rakvere 36 16 8 12 68:58 56
5 Tartu SK 10 36 17 3 16 58:67 54
6 Tammeka Tartu II 36 15 7 14 70:57 52
7 Vandra Vaprus 36 12 10 14 61:55 46
8 Tulevik 36 12 10 14 46:57 46
9 Puuma 36 8 5 23 40:91 29
10 Kivioli Irbis 36 7 4 25 60:114 25
Relegation - Esiliiga 2013 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2013 (Promotion)