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Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs FK play Grebbestad in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vanersborgs FK averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2 conceded. Grebbestad averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Vanersborgs FK won 1, Grebbestad won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Vanersborgs FK and 1.94 for Grebbestad. This points to a Grebbestad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vanersborgs FK
6%
Draws
90%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Grebbestad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vanersborgs FK.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Grebbestad.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Grebbestad
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs FK
4:2
Apr 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
3:1
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs FK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Halawi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakshaug S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjornsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 10 / 100
Grebbestad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Grebbestad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Grebbestad let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vanersborgs FK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Grebbestad lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Grebbestad
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408