Sport Picks
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad Prediction & H2H Stats
Sweden
Division 2 - Norra Götaland 
Match Events
60'
60'
Halawi F.
66'
66'
Sakshaug S.
72'
72'
Bjornsson D.
AI Match Summary
Grebbestad in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grebbestad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grebbestad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Grebbestad lately — more wins on the board than Vanersborgs FK.
- Grebbestad are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 16%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vanersborgs FK | Grebbestad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs FK
4:2
Apr 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
3:1
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs FK
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vanersborgs FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Halawi F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Johansson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Grebbestad Compare
Top Goalscorer Sakshaug S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bjornsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vanersborgs FK 23 / 100
Grebbestad 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vanersborgs FK Grebbestad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vanersborgs FK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Grebbestad has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Vanersborgs FK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vanersborgs FK VS Grebbestad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Vanersborgs FK
(Home) 03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0 Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3 Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2 Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1 Vanersborgs FK
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0 Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3 Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2 Tord
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0 Ahlafors
21 Aug
Vanersborgs FK
0 : 1 IFK Skovde
31 Jul
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 4 Herrestads AIF
Page 1 of 3
Grebbestad
(Away) 26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1 Skara
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3 Grebbestad
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2 Grebbestad
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1 Lidkoping
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2 Grebbestad
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3 Grebbestad
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2 Grebbestad
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2 Grebbestad
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1 Grebbestad
31 Jul
Karlstad II
1 : 2 Grebbestad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 58:18 | 63 |
| 2 | Skara | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 51:26 | 53 |
| 3 | IFK Skovde | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 47 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42:33 | 39 |
| 6 | Herrestads AIF | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 7 | Stenungsunds IF | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 42:33 | 33 |
| 8 | Vanersborgs FK | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 30:40 | 28 |
| 9 | Lidkoping | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29:42 | 27 |
| 10 | Motala | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:32 | 26 |
| 11 | Kumla | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23:42 | 25 |
| 12 | Tord | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 26:42 | 18 |
| 13 | Karlstad II | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 23:44 | 13 |
| 14 | Vanersborgs IF | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 24:69 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)
