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Vanersborgs FK vs Kumla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
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Match Events

10' Event
65' Event
85' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vanersborgs FK
30%
Draws
39%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Vanersborgs FK at 1.27 per game, Kumla at 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Vanersborgs FK's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Kumla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Kumla
3:3
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK
1:2
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Kumla
2:1
Oct 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Kumla
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 42 / 100
Kumla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Kumla has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Vanersborgs FK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Kumla
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs FK

(Home)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
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Kumla

(Away)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)