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Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Eriksson O.
60' Event
Zetterlund J.
63' Event
Akerman O.

AI Match Summary

Ahlafors in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vanersborgs IF
15%
Draws
85%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahlafors lately — more wins on the board than Vanersborgs IF.
  • Win probability leans Ahlafors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ahlafors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Ahlafors
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.29 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs IF
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Ahlafors
2:3
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs IF
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs IF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Zetterlund J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akerman O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
Ahlafors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Ahlafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Vanersborgs IF's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ahlafors conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Ahlafors lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Ahlafors
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
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Ahlafors

(Away)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 25 17 5 3 52:26 56
3 IFK Skovde 25 14 5 6 42:26 47
4 Ahlafors 25 12 7 6 56:31 43
5 Grebbestad 25 12 4 9 44:37 40
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 25 10 6 9 45:34 36
8 Lidkoping 25 8 6 11 32:43 30
9 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
10 Motala 25 6 8 11 36:41 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 25 4 10 11 30:44 22
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)