Sport Picks

Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Vanlose Idraetspark

Horsholm-Usserod

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vanlose play Horsholm-Usserod in the 3rd Division 2025/2026. Horsholm-Usserod are favorites here. Recently, Vanlose averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Horsholm-Usserod averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Vanlose won 3, Horsholm-Usserod won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Vanlose and 1.00 for Horsholm-Usserod. This points to a Horsholm-Usserod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Vanlose

25%

Draws

60%

Horsholm-Usserod

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Horsholm-Usserod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Vanlose picked up more points recently compared to Horsholm-Usserod.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Vanlose Clean Sheet 23%

Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vanlose	Horsholm-Usserod
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	7
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.07	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.69	2.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 3rd Division

Vanlose vs Horsholm-Usserod

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

May 2, 2026 3rd Division

Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Mar 7, 2026 3rd Division

Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Oct 4, 2025 3rd Division

Vanlose vs Horsholm-Usserod

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Aug 3, 2021 Betano Pokalen

Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanlose Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Horsholm-Usserod Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalid A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hvid A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanlose 18 / 100

Horsholm-Usserod 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vanlose Horsholm-Usserod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsholm-Usserod Win (2)

Secondary Pick Horsholm-Usserod & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vanlose attacking → ← attacking Horsholm-Usserod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanlose scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Horsholm-Usserod let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vanlose went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Horsholm-Usserod lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 27

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nykobing	32	26	5	1	80:23	83
2	Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000	32	16	7	9	42:32	55
3	Naesby	32	16	5	11	63:50	53
4	Bronshoj	32	11	10	11	48:57	43
5	Vanlose	32	11	7	14	37:44	40
6	Horsholm-Usserod	32	9	6	17	47:63	33