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Vanlose vs Naesby

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division Vanlose Idraetspark, Vanlose
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
41' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Vanlose and Naesby finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanlose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vanlose
20%
Draws
33%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vanlose a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 14%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanlose Naesby
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.19 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
3:0
May 25, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanlose 66 / 100
Naesby 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanlose Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanlose found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Naesby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vanlose remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanlose VS Naesby
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanlose

(Home)
15 Aug
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Vanlose
08 Aug
Vanlose
3 : 0
Naesby
04 Aug
Koge Nord
1 : 4
Vanlose
31 Jul
Helsingor
2 : 2
Vanlose
22 Jul
Glostrup FK
1 : 2
Vanlose
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Naesby

(Away)
15 Aug
Naesby
0 : 0
Bronshoj
08 Aug
Vanlose
3 : 0
Naesby
04 Aug
Kolding BK
0 : 3
Naesby
01 Aug
Naesby
2 : 1
Sundby
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstebro 3 2 1 0 9:4 7
2 Holbaek 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Helsingor 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
4 ASA Aarhus 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Bronshoj 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
6 Vanlose 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
7 Horsholm-Usserod 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
8 Naesby 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
9 BK Frem 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Ishoj IF 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
11 Ringsted 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Sundby 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)