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Vanlose vs Naesby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division Vanlose Idraetspark, Vanlose
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Lauritzen K.
40' Event
Paludan B.
90' Event
Vinterberg M.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Vanlose and Naesby finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanlose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vanlose
30%
Draws
27%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vanlose a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 12%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanlose Naesby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.34 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
3:0
May 25, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanlose Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauritzen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paludan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Naesby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanlose 40 / 100
Naesby 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanlose Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanlose found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Vanlose stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Naesby has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vanlose VS Naesby
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanlose

(Home)
03 Oct
Sundby
0 : 1
Vanlose
26 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 1
Bronshoj
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
13 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
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Naesby

(Away)
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2
Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 10 7 1 2 26:18 22
2 Bronshoj 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
3 Vanlose 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
4 Naesby 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
5 Helsingor 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
6 ASA Aarhus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
7 Holstebro 10 4 1 5 16:22 13
8 Horsholm-Usserod 10 3 3 4 20:19 12
9 Sundby 10 3 1 6 14:16 10
10 BK Frem 10 2 3 5 17:19 9
11 Ishoj IF 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
12 Ringsted 10 1 2 7 13:27 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)