Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanraure vs Azul Claro Numazu

Japan Japan

J3 League 2025 Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Inazumi D.
Assist: Nagata K.
13'
Martinez E.
46'
Sub
Nakano S. In: Sasaki K.
Out: Nakano S.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League 2025 game between Vanraure and Azul Claro Numazu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanraure.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vanraure
20%
Draws
51%
Azul Claro Numazu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azul Claro Numazu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanraure carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Azul Claro Numazu a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%
Azul Claro Numazu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanraure Azul Claro Numazu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.73 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 J3 League
Vanraure vs Azul Claro Numazu
1:0
May 3, 2025 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Vanraure
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 J3 League
Vanraure vs Azul Claro Numazu
1:0
May 19, 2024 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Vanraure
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 J3 League
Vanraure vs Azul Claro Numazu
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanraure Compare

Top Goalscorer Inazumi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Azul Claro Numazu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanraure 10 / 100
Azul Claro Numazu 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanraure Azul Claro Numazu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azul Claro Numazu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Azul Claro Numazu conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vanraure scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Vanraure stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanraure VS Azul Claro Numazu
0.75 Goals Scored 3.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanraure

(Home)
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0
Vanraure
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

Azul Claro Numazu

(Away)
26 Aug
Chiba
2 : 1
Azul Claro Numazu
19 Aug
Arterivo Wakayama
0 : 6
Azul Claro Numazu
15 Mar
Iwata
1 : 2
Azul Claro Numazu
14 Dec
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 1
Reilac Shiga
07 Dec
Reilac Shiga
3 : 2
Azul Claro Numazu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tochigi City 38 23 8 7 69:37 77
2 Vanraure 38 21 9 8 46:23 72
3 FC Osaka 38 21 8 9 55:33 71
4 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 38 19 10 9 61:45 67
5 Kagoshima United 38 18 12 8 69:44 66
6 Kanazawa 38 18 5 15 53:45 59
7 Tochigi SC 38 17 7 14 42:36 58
8 Giravanz Kitakyushu 38 17 5 16 46:41 56
9 Nara Club 38 15 11 12 50:46 56
10 Fukushima United 38 16 8 14 60:67 56
11 Gainare Tottori 38 15 6 17 44:49 51
12 SC Sagamihara 38 13 11 14 38:50 50
13 Gifu 38 13 8 17 52:60 47
14 Thespakusatsu Gunma 38 12 10 16 56:59 46
15 Matsumoto Yamaga 38 11 10 17 41:50 43
16 Ryukyu 38 10 10 18 41:57 40
17 Kamatamare Sanuki 38 10 8 20 41:57 38
18 Kochi United 38 10 8 20 40:60 38
19 Nagano Parceiro 38 9 8 21 29:57 35
20 Azul Claro Numazu 38 6 10 22 40:57 28
Promotion - J2 League (Main)
Promotion - J3 League 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League 2025 (Relegation)