Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanraure vs Shonan Bellmare

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Yamada H.
Assist: Matsumoto H.
29'
Arthur Feitoza
31'
Kase N.

AI Match Summary

Shonan Bellmare in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shonan Bellmare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vanraure
20%
Draws
44%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shonan Bellmare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Shonan Bellmare have won more games recently than Vanraure.
  • Model gives Vanraure a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Shonan Bellmare have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 68%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanraure Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs Shonan Bellmare
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Vanraure
1:0
Jul 7, 2021 Emperors Cup
Vanraure vs Shonan Bellmare
1:2
Oct 10, 2004 Emperors Cup
Shonan Bellmare vs Vanraure
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanraure Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamada H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanraure 51 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanraure Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shonan Bellmare conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Vanraure went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Shonan Bellmare registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanraure VS Shonan Bellmare
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanraure

(Home)
08 Aug
Vanraure
2 : 0
Toyama
16 Jul
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 0
Vanraure
07 Jun
Vanraure
1 : 2
Imabari
01 Jun
Vanraure
0 : 1
Fukushima United
24 May
Vanraure
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Shonan Bellmare

(Away)
08 Aug
Oita Trinita
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
17 Jul
Kyoto
1 : 4
Shonan Bellmare
06 Jun
Sagan Tosu
1 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
30 May
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 2
Iwaki
24 May
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)